Savings calculator · real auction prices

What did blind hours cost you?

Every number below is computed from the real day-ahead auction results for your bidding zone — no projections, no market averages. Set your assets, and see what knowing tomorrow's negative and cheap hours was actually worth.

ES follows with licensed data
0 if you have no PV
1 cycle/day, 88% round-trip
flexible processes, EV fleets…

Last 12 months, this profile could have kept
€ —

Yesterday
This month
This year
Last 12 months
Solar: curtailment instead of paying to feed in during negative hours
Battery: charging the daily valley, discharging the peak
Load shifting: moving flexible consumption peak → valley

How this is computed — and what it is not

  • Prices are real: hourly day-ahead auction results for your zone (Bundesnetzagentur | SMARD.de via Energy-Charts, CC BY 4.0), from January 2025 to yesterday.
  • Solar: your kWp × an hourly production estimate from actual weather-model radiation, valued at the actual negative price in every hour below €0 — i.e., what curtailment would have kept. Lost market-premium effects are excluded, so for supported plants the true number is higher.
  • Battery: one cycle per day, cheapest-2-hours in, priciest-2-hours out, 88% round-trip efficiency.
  • Load shifting: your shiftable MWh moved from the day's 4 priciest to its 4 cheapest hours.
  • This is a perfect-foresight upper bound. Nobody catches every hour. Our backtested engine currently calls negative hours with 85–91% precision at its alert threshold (by zone) — judged daily on the public scoreboard. The gap between zero and perfect is what a forecast is worth.
Informational — not trading or investment advice.

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